Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000098 0.000103 0.000108 0.000114 0.000121 0.000128
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000093 0.000101 0.000110 0.000120 0.000131 0.000145
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000088 0.000097 0.000108 0.000121 0.000136 0.000156
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000086 0.000097 0.000110 0.000127 0.000147 0.000174
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000083 0.000094 0.000109 0.000128 0.000152 0.000185
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092 0.000108 0.000128 0.000155 0.000195
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000078 0.000091 0.000108 0.000131 0.000162 0.000209
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000077 0.000091 0.000109 0.000135 0.000171 0.000228
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000107 0.000134 0.000172 0.000236
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000104 0.000131 0.000170 0.000237
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000068 0.000082 0.000101 0.000129 0.000170 0.000241
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000097 0.000124 0.000165 0.000237
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000065 0.000079 0.000099 0.000129 0.000175 0.000260
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000100 0.000133 0.000185 0.000285
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000099 0.000133 0.000188 0.000298
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000062 0.000078 0.000101 0.000138 0.000200 0.000332
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000061 0.000076 0.000100 0.000138 0.000203 0.000348
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000075 0.000098 0.000137 0.000206 0.000363
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000059 0.000074 0.000099 0.000139 0.000213 0.000391
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074 0.000100 0.000143 0.000225 0.000434
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000057 0.000073 0.000098 0.000142 0.000225 0.000445
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000095 0.000138 0.000220 0.000441
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000053 0.000068 0.000093 0.000136 0.000218 0.000444